Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors of hilar cholangiocarcinoma / 中华消化外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the prognostic factors of hilar cholangiocarcinoma. Methods The clinical data of 204 patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma who were admitted to The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University from January 1996 to May 2007 were retrospectively analyzed. The survival rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test. Seventeen factors that may have influenced prognosis were analyzed by univariate analysis. Factors that were statistically significant were further analyzed by the Cox regression model. Results The median survival times of patients who received radical resection, palliative resec-tion, bile duct exploration and catheter drainage, exploratory laparotomy, and liver transplantation were 37, 18, 11,5 and 25 months, respectively, and there was a significant difference between the 5 groups (χ2 = 58. 300, P < 0. 05). The prognostic factors included tumor size, portal vein or hepatic artery invasion, local invasion, resection margin, tumor grading, lymph node metastasis and surgical procedure (χ2 =6. 541, 8. 159, 5. 837, 4. 365, 13.748, 5.346, 9.472, P <0.05). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that surgical procedure and tumor grading were independent prognostic factors (6=0.287, 0. 320, P <0.05). Conclusions Radical resection is the most important prognostic factor of hilar cholangiocarcinoma. Appropriate perioperative care can improve the survival rate.