Weighted index of comorbidities evaluates the impact of underlying diseases on hospital mortality of pneumonia patients / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To estimate the validity of Charlson' s weighted index of comorbidities (WIC) used to predicting 28-day mortality among ICU pneumonia patients with underlying diseases.Methods Aretrospective analysis of 160 adult patients with pneumonia admitted to a multi-discipline ICU of Shanghai Changzheng hospital between October 2010 and February 2012 was carried out.Clinical data were collected including age,gender,community acquired pneumonia (CAP) or hospital acquired pneumonia (HAP),underlying diseases,severity-of-sepsis,and 28-day mortality.WIC scores,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ,and sepsis related organ failure assessment (SOFA) were assessed within the first 24 hours after admission.Logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the predictors for outcome.The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to compare the performance of these scores between different methods.Results Of 160 enrolled patients,76 (48.8％) were CAP,82 (51.2％) HAP,and 106 (66.3％) male,54 (33.7％) female,and 99 (61.9％) patients survived and 61 (38.1％) died.The average age was (62.4 ± 17.3) years old.Compared with survivors,WIC,APACHE Ⅱ and SOFA scores were significantly higher in death group (P ＜ 0.05).The multivariate logistic regression revealed that risk of death depends predominantly on age (OR =1.049,95％ CI1.011-1.088,P =0.011),WIC (OR =1.725,95％ CI1.194-2.492,P =0.004),APACHE Ⅱ score (OR =1.175,95％CI1.058-1.305,P =0.003),SOFA score (OR =1.277,95％ CI1.048-1.556,P =0.015),presence of ARDS (OR =0.081,95％ CI0.008-0.829,P =0.034),and complicated with severe sepsis (OR =0.149,95％ CI0.232-0.622,P =0.004).The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve in predicting mortality was 0.639 (0.547-0.730) for the WIC,0.782 (0.709-0.856) for APACHE Ⅱ score,0.79 (0.714-0.866) for SOFA score and 0.842 (0.777-0.907) for the merger of three.Conclusions In pneumonia patients of ICU,WIC is a useful approach to predicting 28-day mortality,and the risk of death significantly depends on co-morbidities.