Analysis of plague monitoring results and epidemic trend from 2000 to 2012 in Guizhou Province / 中华地方病学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To master the prevalence of plague and its trend in Guizhou Province,and to analyze the plague monitoring results from 2000 to 2012.Methods The report of infectious disease,the information of plague natural focus and the epizootic monitoring data of Xingyi City,Anlong County and Dingxiao Distract of Guizhou Province from 2000 to 2012 were collected and the status of the plague natural focus was analyzed.Results There were 137 cases of gland plague in Xingyi City and Arlong county from 2000-2003,1 death,and mt plague occurred in 66 villages.Fifty-four strains of Yersiniapestis were detected and 49 rats were plague antigen F1 positive(49/160).No human plague occurred between 2004-2012.A total of 4 plague antigen F1 positive rats were detected in Dingxiao District and Xingyi City in 2005 and 2006.There was no Yersinia pestis and F1 antibody in 2007-2012.The epidemic stage of plague was from 2000-2003; the active stage was from 2004-2006; and the quiescent stage was from 2007-2012.The dominant species of the plague natural focus was Rattus flavipestus (42.83％,7 966/18 597),but was replaced by Rattus norvegicus at the epidemic stage (47.22％,1 480/3 134) and the active stage(35.35％,2 071/5 196).The density of rodents was 5.34％ at the epidemic stage,which was higher than that of the active stage (3.27％) and the quiescent stage (1.71％,x2 =2 286.15,P ＜ 0.01).Xenopsylla cheopis(56.34％,10 034/17 811) was the dominant species,and the index was 1.537 9,which was greater than those of the active stage(0.959 6) and the quiescent stage(0.540 4,x2 =492.68,P ＜ 0.01).Conclusions The plague of Guizhou Province is at the quiescent stage.Both the density of rodents and the Xenopsylla cheopis index are lower than the national standard of controlling.