Relationship between CHA2DS2-VASc score and short-term prognosis of aged patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation complicated ischemic cerebral stroke / 心血管康复医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the relationship between atrial fibrillation stroke risk score (CHA2DS2-VASc score) and short-term prognosis of aged patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF)complicated ischemic cerebral stroke (ICS).Methods:A total of 206 aged NVAF+ ICS patients who hospitalized in our hosipital from Jun 2011 to Aug 2013 were selected.CHA2DS2-VASc score was used to perform stroke risk stratification,and patients were di- vided into low risk group (n=24,0 score),medium risk group (n=78,1 score)and high risk group (n=104,2~9 scores).Modified Rankin scale (mRS)was used to assess patients'prognosis on three months after onset.According to mRS score,patients were divided into good prognosis group (n=89,0~2 scores)and poor prognosis group (n=117,3~6 scores).Independent predictors for poor prognosis in three months were analyzed.Results:Compared with low risk group,there were significant rise in age,percentages of hypertension,diabetes mellitus (DM),heart failure,stroke and vascular disease history,scores of United States national institutes of health stroke score (NIHSS) in medium and high risk groups (P<0.05 or <0.01).Compared with good prognosis group,there were significant rise in age [(72.81±7.68)years vs.(81.56±8.03)years],percentages of hypertension (58.4% vs.71.8%)and stroke history (9.0% vs.29.9%),scores of NIHSS [(2.97±1.42)scores vs.(7.67±3.92)scores]and CHA2DS2- VASc [(1.70±1.63)scores vs.(4.03±2.53)scores]in poor prognosis group,P<0.05 or <0.01. Multi-factor Logistic regression analysis indicated NIHSS score (high riskOR=1.78,95%CI1.27~2.56,P=0.001 ), CHA2DS2-VASc scores (high riskOR=3.24,95%CI1.32~6.98,P=0.001)and age (high riskOR=1.23, 95%CI1.07~1.54,P=0.01)were independent predictors for poor prognosis on three months in aged NVAF +ICS patients.Conclusion:CHA2DS2-VASc score is related to early improvement of patients with NVAF + ICS;age,scores of NIHSS and CHA2DS2-VASc are independent predictors for poor short-term prognosis.