Predictive value of fluid overload for mortality in children with severe sepsis / 中华实用儿科临床杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the predictive value of fluid overload for mortality in children with severe sepsis.Methods In this retrospective study,the children with severe sepsis who were admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU),Children's Hospital of Soochow University between January 2011 and March 2015.Fluid accumulation was calculated in the first 72 hours after admission.Pediatric index of mortality Ⅱ (PIM2) score was calculated during the first 1 hour after admission.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis assessed the relationship between fluid overload and mortality after adjustment for confounding factors.The predictive value of fluid overload for mortality was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic curve and au area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC).Results Of the 199 children admitted,62 cases (31.2％) died during PICU stay.Among the children,133 cases (66.8％) had fluid overload of＜5％,55 cases (27.6％)had fluid overload of≥5％-10％,and 11 cases (5.6％) had fluid overload of≥ 10％.Multivariate regression analysis showed that a high fluid overload percent (OR =1.263,95 ％ CI1.113-1.434,P ＜ 0.001),a high PIM2 score (OR =1.028,95 ％ CI1.012-1.043,P ＜ 0.001) and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome(OR =4.160,95％ CI1.728-10.012,P =0.001) were independent risk factors for mortality in children with severe sepsis.The fluid overload was significantly associated with mortality (OR =1.309,95％ CI1.158-1.480,P ＜0.001),even after adjustment for age and illness severity assessed by PIM2 scores.Fluid overload achieved AUC of 0.741 (95％ CI0.661-0.820,P ＜ 0.001) for predicting mortality in children with severe sepsis.Conclusion Fluid overload developed during the first 72 hours after admission is independently associated with and predictive of PICU mortality in children with severe sepsis.