The value of serum soluble cluster differentiation CD163 to the prognosis of patients with stroke associated pneumonia / 中国中西医结合急救杂志

ABSTRACT

ObjectiveTo estimate the value of serum soluble scavenger receptor CD163 (sCD163) to the prognosis of patients with stroke associated pneumonia (SAP).Methods A prospective study was conducted. The clinically suspected SAP patients admitted to Department of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and Emergency ICU (EICU) in Zhejiang Province Zhuji City Chinese Medicine Hospital from February 2014 to January 2015 were all enrolled. According to clinical pneumonia severity index (PSI), they were divided into SAP group and non SAP group according to the presence or absence of SAP, the patients of SAP group were subdivided into mild SAP group (PSI grade Ⅰ-Ⅲgrade) and severe SAP groups (PSI grade Ⅳ-Ⅴ grade) and according to the 28-day prognosis, the patients were subdivided into hospitalized death group and survival group. The clinical data were collected, including gender, age, history of stroke presence or absence, present stroke pattern, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (NIHSS) on the day of stroke suspect diagnosis, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ) score, clinical pulmonary infection score (CPIS), PSI score, body temperature, result of chest X-ray film, oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2), result of sputum culture, serum levels of white blood cell (WBC) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in a period of 7 days after the suspected diagnosis, PCT, sCDl63 levels on days 1, 3, 5, 7 days, length of stay in ICU, the total time of hospitalization and 28-day survival situation, etc. The ability of each index to evaluate the prognosis of SAP was analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve). The risk factors influencing the prognosis of SAP patients were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression analysis.Results ① Seventy-eight patients were finally enrolled in the study, 44 patients were diagnosed as SAP, 34 were non SAP. In 44 patients with SAP, there were 28 cases of severe SAP and 16 cases of mild SAP. On the first day of the suspected diagnosis, the NIHSS score [13 (7, 22) vs. 8 (4, 17), the CPIS score [6 (4, 9) vs. 4 (3, 5), sCD163 [mg/L 0.80 (0.59, 1.32) vs. 0.33 (0.22, 0.46)], CRP [mg/L 84.2 (50.8, 114.9) vs. 51.4 (26.2, 79.9)] and 28-day mortality [38.6% (17/44) vs. 11.8% (4/34)] in SAP group were significantly higher than those in non SAP group (allP 0.05). ② The levels of sCD163 reached the peak value on the third day after the suspected diagnosis among SAP group and non SAP group, mild SAP group and severe SAP group, survival group and death group and then began to fall; the levels of sCD163, WBC, CRP, PCT within 7 days in SAP, severe SAP and death groups were higher than those in non SAP, mild SAP and survival groups (allP < 0.05). ③ROC curve analysis indicated sCDl63 showed a better capacity for evaluating the 28-day prognosis of SAP [ROC curve (AUC) =0.673, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 0.515-0.807, sensitivity and specificity were 41.2% and 96.3% respectively and the cut-off was 2.65 mg/L]. However, the levels of other inflammatory indexes and scores on the first day after the suspected diagnosis had no value for early prognosis of SAP. The multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the level of sCD163 on the first day after the suspected diagnosis was the independent risk factor of death in hospital of SAP patients [dominance ratio (OR = 1.27, 95%CI = 1.06-1.52,P < 0.05]. Age (OR = 1.04, 95%CI = 1.01-1.06,P = 0.015), NIHSS score (OR = 2.86, 95%CI = 1.64-4.92,P = 0.010), CPIS score (OR = 1.52,95%CI = 1.28-1.90,P < 0.001) and APACHEⅡ score (OR = 2.06, 95%CI = 1.53-3.07,P < 0.001) were also the risk factors of influencing the death of patients with SAP.Conclusions Early sCD163 level is an independent risk factor in predicting the 28-day mortality of patients with SAP, and it has a certain value for the prognosis of SAP.