Predication of three kinds of scoring model for type 2 diabetes mellitus withacute pulmonary thromboembo-lism / 医学研究生学报

ABSTRACT

Objective There were few studies of prediction on type 2 diabetic patients with acute pulmonary thromboembo?lism.To evaluate the performance of the Padua score, revised Geneva score and Wells PE score in the prediction value of diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus with acute pulmonary thromboembolism( APTE) . Methods 151cases with suspected APTE of type 2 diabe?tes were collected from January 2013 to December 2015 by a retrospective case analysis mode. Among 151 pations,80 cases had diag?nosed with pulmonary thromboembolism.The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the probability of type 2 diabetic patients with APTE predicted by the Padua, the revised Geneva and the Wells PE score. We calculated the Youden Index for the cut?off point. Results The area under curve( AUC) of the ROC curve in the Padua score, revised Geneva score and Wells PE score for APTE was 0.804±0.035、0.635±0.045 and 0.705±0.043. The area under the ROC curve of the Padua score was the highest and there was a significant difference compared with the revised Geneva( P0.016 7) . The comparison of revised Geneva score and Wells PE for the predication value was no statistically significant difference ( P>0.016 7) . The cut?off of Padua score was 3 points and Youden Index was 0.51. The cut?off of Revised Geneva was 3 points and Youden In?dex was 0.24. The cut?off of Wells PE score was 1 points and Youden Index was 0.39. Conclusion Padua score, revised Geneva score and Wells PE score in predicting diabetes patients have some ex?tent clinical value terms, which Padua score has higher predictive value than the Revised Geneva.The predictive value of Padua score and Wells PE score was equivalent.However, the predictive value of Padua score is limited.