Analysis on cancer mortality level and change trends in Yingcheng of Hubei Province / 中华疾病控制杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To analyze the level and change trends of cancer mortality in the media focused area,Yingcheng of Hubei Province,to further support the authenticity and reliability of the information from media report.Methods Use the data of the first national retrospective death survey and the third national retrospective sampling death survey to describe cancer mortality and change trends in Yingcheng of Hubei Province.Results Crude cancer mortality in Yingcheng was 148.26/100 000.In the past 30 years,cancer mortality significantly increased by 9.27 times.Among 100 000 people in the county,each year 43 cases of malignant tumor death occurred more than the national average level.A variety of malignant tumors' mortality change in the county is significantly different from those of the country,such as esophageal cancer,stomach cancer did not fall but rise;liver cancer,lung cancer,leukaemia and colorectal cancer increased 5.84 times,5.61 times,5.07 times and 17.91 times more than the national average,respectively.The excess mortality rate of stomach cancer,liver cancer,lung cancer and colorectal cancer were 15.32/100 000,16.78/100 000,8.32/100 000 and 3.98/100 000 respectively.Negative binomial distribution fitting results suggest that death of stomach cancer exists village aggregation.Conclusions The level of historical cancer mortality in Yingcheng was low,but increase quickly,presently it is on the national high-incidence level.It presents the phenomenon that a variety of malignant tumors is generally on high-incidence level and stomach cancer exists village aggregation.