Hospital mortality prediction of five severity scoring models on 29 critical acute renal failure patients / 解放军医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To compare the applicability between ARF special severity scoring systems and intensive care unit (ICU) general severity scoring systems on predicting the hospital mortality of critical acute renal failure (ARF) patients. Methods The data of 29 patients with critical ARF were retrospectively analyzed. Two ARF special severity scoring models, acute tubular necrosis individual severity index (ATN-ISI) and Stuivenberg hospital acute renal failure scores (SHARF), and 3 ICU general severity scoring models, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ), APACHE Ⅲ, Mortality Prediction Model Ⅱ (MPM Ⅱ), were used in the analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn up to assess the ability of these models in hospital mortality discrimination. Results All severity scores of the patients in survivor group (n=9) were lower than those of the patients in non-survivor group (n=20). There were statistical differentiations in the scores of ATN-ISI, APACHE Ⅱ, MPM Ⅱ-24h, MPM Ⅱ-72h between the survivor group and the non-survivor group (P