Relationship between self-rated health of the elderly in Beijing and the occurrence of stroke based on a competitive risk model:a cohort study / 中国脑血管病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the risks of self-rated health in the ≥55-year elderly in Beijing and the occurrence of stroke.Methods The subjects (n=2 101;aged ≥55) from Beijing longitudinal study of aging (BLSA) were collected by Xuanwu Hospital,Capital Medical University from January 1992 to December 2016.One hundred and twenty-one subjects with stroke at baseline and 92 with incomplete information were excluded,and finally,1 888 elderly patients without cerebrovascular disease at baseline were included in the analysis.Based on the actual situation,the self-rated health was to identify an item that matched their current state from good,general to poor.The deadline for the survey was December 31,2012.The competitive risk model was used to assess the health self-rated status and the risk of stroke.Non-stroke deaths,including cancer and car accidents were treated as competitive events.Results Of the 1 888 subjects enrolled,946 (50.1%) self-rated health were good,616 (32.6%) were general,and 326 (17.3%) were poor;438 (23.2%) had stroke,751 (37.8%) had non-stroke death,and 699 (37.0%) were right censored data.Using the competing risk model and adjusting the age,sex,living area,marital status,education level,smoking,alcohol consumption,physical exercise,hypertension,diabetes mellitus,coronary heart disease,and body mass index,the occurrence of stroke in patients with poor self-rated health was 1.44 times (95%CI 1.11-1.87,P<0.01) as good as those who were good.Conclusion In the self-rated health of the elderly ≥55 years old in Beijing,the people with poor self-rated health increased the occurrence of stroke after considering the competitive risks.