Analysis of the prognostic factors in patients with primary superficial transitional cell carcinoma of bladder / 中华泌尿外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the prognostic factors affecting recurrence,progression,bladder preservation,metastasis and cancer specific survival in patients with primary superficial transitional cell carcinoma of bladder. Methods Using Kaplan Meier method,Log rank test and Cox proportional hazards model,the retrospective survival analysis was performed in 198 patients with primary superficial transitional cell carcinoma of bladder. Results The mean follow up period was 79.76 months.The recurrence rates at 3 ,5 ,10 year were (28.75?0.78)%,(35.70?0.16)%,and (42.83?0.00)%,respectively.The main variables affecting recurrence were the duration of symptoms,histological grades and intra operative blood transfusion.The progression rates at 3 ,5 ,10 year were(8.89?0.33)%,(15.16?0.16)%,and (23.88?0.00)%,respectively.The main variables affecting progression were intra operative blood transfusion,histological grades,the number of reexaminations and recurrence free period (RFP).The rates of bladder preservation at 3 ,5 ,10 year were(94.68?0.23)%,(93.87?0.00)%,(91.51?0.00)%,respectively. The main variable affecting bladder preservation was RFP. The metastasis rates at 3 ,5 ,10 year were (8.25?0.22)%,(11.24?0.00)%,(28.94?0.00)%,respectively.The main variables affecting metastasis were tumor multifocality, hydronephrosis,microscopic growth pattern and RFP. The cancer specific survival at 3 ,5 ,10 year were (95.02?0.00)%,(90.70?0.46)%,(77.14?1.06)%,respectively.The variables that could predict cancer specific survival were microscopic growth pattern and RFP. Conclusions By cancer specific survival analysis of the follow up data,we can well identify the main prognostic factors from numerous ones,and also can design the therapeutic and follow up strategies for primary superficial transitional cell carcinoma of bladder.