Validation of the China-PAR Equations for Cardio-cerebrovascular Risk Prediction in the Inner Mongolian Population / 生物医学与环境科学(英文)
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences
;
(12): 463-466, 2018.
Article
in English
| WPRIM
| ID: wpr-690634
ABSTRACT
The objective of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of the China-PAR equations in predicting the 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Inner Mongolians population. A population-based, prospective cohort of 2,589 Mongolians were followed up from 2003 to 2012. Participants were categorized into 4 subgroups according to their 10-year CVD risks calculated using the China-PAR equations < 5%, 5%-9.9%, 10%-19.9%, and ⪖ 20%. The China-PAR equations discriminated well with good C statistics (range, 0.76-0.86). The adjusted hazard ratios for CVD showed an increasing trend among the 4 subgroups (P for trend < 0.01). However, the China-PAR equations underestimated the 10-year CVD risk in Mongolians, and the calibration was unsatisfactory (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 19.98, P < 0.01 for men, χ2 = 46.58, P < 0.001 for women). The performance of the China-PAR equations warrants further validation in other ethnic groups in China.
Full text:
Available
Index:
WPRIM (Western Pacific)
Main subject:
Cardiovascular Diseases
/
Proportional Hazards Models
/
Cerebrovascular Disorders
/
China
/
Epidemiology
/
Incidence
/
Prospective Studies
/
Risk Factors
/
Cohort Studies
/
Risk Assessment
Type of study:
Etiology study
/
Incidence study
/
Observational study
/
Prognostic study
/
Risk factors
Limits:
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
Country/Region as subject:
Asia
Language:
English
Journal:
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences
Year:
2018
Type:
Article
Similar
MEDLINE
...
LILACS
LIS