Predictive value of early phrase echocardiography and cardiac biological markers in patients with severe sepsis: a five-year single-center retrospective study / 中华危重病急救医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To assess the predictive value of early phrase echocardiography and cardiac biomarkers in patients with severe sepsis. Methods A retrospective analysis of severe septic patients (patients with acute coronary syndrome and end stage renal disease were excluded) in department of intensive care unit of Capital Medical University Affiliated Beijing Shijitan Hospital from January 2013 to December 2017 was conducted. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ) score, N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), cardiac troponin I (cTnI), myoglobin (MYO), creatine kinase (CK), MB isoenzyme of creatine kinase (CK-MB) within 6 hours after admission, and bedside echocardiography indexes [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), the ratio of the peak blood flow velocity in the early stage of the mitral valve and the peak blood flow rate of the mitral valve (E/A ratio)] within 6 hours after diagnosis were recorded. The differences of indexes between patients with decreased contractile function (LVEF < 0.50) group and normal group, and the difference between dead group and survival group within 28-day were compared. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Logistic regression analysis were conducted to assess the early detected prognostic value in severe sepsis patients. Results ① A total of 316 patients were enrolled in the survey period. Decreased cardiac systolic function (LVEF < 0.50) was found in 89 cases (28.2%), and cardiac diastolic function impaired (E/A ratio < 1) in 269 cases (85.1%); while 79 cases (25.0%) had both systolic function and diastolic function impairment. ② NT-proBNP and cTnI were statistically different between cardiac systolic function impaired group and normal group. Further Logistic regression analysis showed that only NT-proBNP was significantly correlated with LVEF [β=-1.311, odds ratio (OR) = 0.269, P < 0.001]. ③ Eighty-two of 316 cases were died in 28-day, and the 28-day mortality rate was 25.9%. Compared with the survival group, the ratio of E/A < 1, APACHEⅡ score, NT-proBNP, cTnI, MYO, CK and CK-MB were significantly increased in death group. The ROC curve analysis showed that the above indexes had diagnosed value for prognosis in severe sepsis patient, among which NT-proBNP and cTnI had higher predictive value [the area under ROC curve (AUC) were 0.920 and 0.901 respectively, both P < 0.001]. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHEⅡ score (β= 0.282, OR = 1.326, P < 0.001) and NT-proBNP (β= 0.402, OR = 1.261, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for prognosis in patients with severe sepsis. Conclusions The LVEF values measured by echocardiography in early phrase were unrelated to 28-day prognosis. APACHEⅡ score, E/A ratio, NT-proBNP, cTnI, MYO, CK and CK-MB were related to 28-day prognosis. APACHEⅡ scores and NT-proBNP were independent prognostic factors in severe sepsis patient.