Predictive value of inflammatory markers for acute kidney injury in sepsis patients: analysis of 753 cases in 7 years / 中华危重病急救医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate different inflammation markers for predicting the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in sepsis patients. Methods A retrospective observational study was conducted. The adult patients with sepsis for more than 24 hours admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University from March 1st, 2010 to November 1st, 2017 were enrolled. Inflammatory markers such as white blood cell count (WBC), erythrocyte sedimentation rata (ESR), neutrophil and lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), etc. were collected at ICU admission. The patients were divided into different groups according to the 24-hour AKI, and subgroup analysis was conducted according to the criteria of the Global Renal Disease Prognostic Organization (KDIGO)-AKI staging. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was plotted with statistically significant inflammatory markers to assess the predictive value of AKI for patients with systemic infection. Results A total of 753 patients with sepsis were enrolled. 405 AKI patients were diagnosed within 24 hours, with a prevalence of 53.8%. There were 118 cases (15.7%) in AKI stage 1, 48 cases (6.4%) in stage 2 and 239 cases (31.7%) in stage 3. PCT in AKI group was significantly higher than that in non-AKI group [μg/L 4.98 (1.51, 32.75) vs. 3.00 (0.37, 11.40), P < 0.01]. PCT of AKI stage 2 group was significantly higher than that of AKI stage 1 and 3 groups [μg/L 27.86 (4.80, 37.26) vs. 3.00 (0.98, 16.10), 4.98 (1.51, 42.55), both P < 0.01]. Although ESR in AKI group was lower than that of non-AKI group (mm/1 h 45.25±37.42 vs. 52.28±34.89, P < 0.01), there was no significant difference among the subgroups. CRP in AKI group was slightly higher than the non-AKI group [mg/L 96.00 (42.20, 160.00) vs. 73.60 (21.01, 157.50)], but the difference was not statistically significant (P > 0.05). There was no significant difference in WBC or NLR between AKI group and non-AKI group. It was shown by ROC curve analysis that the area under ROC curve (AUC) of PCT in predicting the occurrence of septic AKI was 0.619, with the 95% confidence interval (95%CI) of 0.545-0.689 (P < 0.01). When the cut-off value of PCT > 0.4 μg/L, the sensitivity was 94.2%, the specificity was 26.5%, the accuracy was 64.2%, the positive predictive value was 61.6%, and the negative predictive value was 78.6%. Conclusion PCT could be a marker to predict AKI with sepsis patients.