Transition analysis in the clinicopathology and prognosis of 2 682 papillary thyroid carcinoma cases over a 15-year period / 中华普通外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the change of clinicopathological features and prognosis of papillary thyroid cancer over a 15-year period.Methods The clinicopathological features and outcomes of papillary thyroid cancer patients were analyzed in three groups according to the time of diagnosisgroup Ⅰ (1997-2001),group Ⅱ (2002-2006),and group Ⅲ (2007-2011).Results As time advanced,the average age of papillary thyroid cancer patients increased,tumor stage,like size,extrathyroid invasion and lymph node metastasis decreased dramatically (P ＜ 0.01).The percentage of multifocality and bilaterality increased.The long-term follow up data (median follow up time was 6.6 years),indicated that the 15-year over all survival was 97.8％ and the 15-year disease-free survival was 90.2％.Tumor ≥3 cm,bilaterality,extrathyroid invasion,lymph node metastasis and AJCC stage were correlated with tumor recurrence.By multivariate COX-regression analysis only lymph node metastasis and bilaterality were independent risk factors.Conclusion The clinicopathological features of papillary thyroid cancer changed over 15 years,with the percentage of early-staged patients increased.Lymph node metastasis and bilaterality are two risk factors for tumor recurrence.