Probability of premature death from chronic respiratory disease in Kunshan City, Jiangsu Province, 1993 to 2016 / 中华健康管理学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To examine the temporal trend of mortality and probability of premature death from chronic respiratory disease in Kunshan City, Jiangsu Province. Methods Records of chronic respiratory disease death were derived from the vital registry system. Crude death rates, age-standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature death were calculated. Annual percent changes (APC) were estimated to examine the temporal trend. Results The crude death rate of chronic respiratory disease decreased from 129.14/105in 1993 to 41.10/105in 2016, and its APC was-4.1% (95% CI-5.1%--3.1%, P<0.01). Age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 107.85/105in 1993 to 14.60/105in 2016 for both sexes (APC=-7.7%, 95% CI-8.6%--6.8%, P<0.01). Moreover, the probability of premature death from chronic respiratory disease decreased from 3.96% in 1993 to 0.28% in 2016 (APC=-13.2%, 95% CI-14.7%- -11.7%, P<0.01). Conclusion The mortality rate of chronic respiratory disease decreased substantially from the year 1993 to 2016 in Kunshan City. Residents are less likely to die of chronic respiratory disease before 70 years of age.