Serum lipoprotein (a) predicts the outcomes in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke and type 2 diabetes mellitus / 国际脑血管病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the predictive value of serum lipoprotein (a) (Lp [a]) levels for short-term functional outcomes in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke and type 2 diabetes mellitus.Methods Elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke and type 2 diabetes mellitus admitted to Nanjing First Hospital from June 2016 to December 2016 were enrolled retrospectively.The modified Rankin scale was used to assess the outcomes at 90 d after onset;0-2 was defined as good outcome and ＞2 were defined as poor outcome.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors for poor outcomes,and the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of serum Lp(a) levels for poor outcomes.Results A total of 231 patients were enrolled,with an average age of 69.7 years and males accounting for 65.4％.The median serum Lp(a) was 166 mg/L (interquartile range 78-331 mg/L).At 90 d after onset,140 patients (60.6％) had good outcomes and 91 (39.4％) had poor outcomes.After adjustment for other confounding variables,multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that elevated serum Lp(a) (referenced to the lowest quartile,the 3rd quartileodds ratio[OR]2.899,95％ confidence interval[CI] 1.154-7.285,P =0.024;the 4th quartileOR 3.334,95％ CI 1.329-8.361,P =0.010),the baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score (OR 1.224,95％ CI 1.143-1.310;P＜ 0.001),and complicated with coronary heart disease (OR 2.504,95％ CI 1.196-5.243;P =0.015) were the independent risk factors for poor outcomes.ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of serum Lp(a) level in predicting the poor outcome was 0.775 (95％ CI 0.696-0.854;P=0.04).The optimal cut-off value was 119 mg/L,the sensitivity was 71.15％,the specificity was 75.90％,the positive predictive value was 38.52％,and the negative predictive value was 61.48％.Conclusion Serum Lp(a) level has certain predictive value for the short-term poor outcomes in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke and type 2 diabetes mellitus.