Analysis on the hierarchical medical system of regional longitudinal medical consortium based on system dynamics / 中国卫生政策研究

ABSTRACT

Objective: To analyze the change in community first diagnosis and two-way referral rate under the condition of the regional longitudinal medical consortium implementation in the country at large. According to the simulation results,some suggestions for hierarchical medical system were put forward. Methods: The community first diagnosis and two-way referral rates were determined using the literature meta-analysis, and were simulated under different conditions by means of the system dynamics. Results:The analysis results confirmed that simply increasing the financial subsidies can increase the community first diagnosis rate within a range from 0.08％ to 0. 17％. For in case increases are made by the government in technical financial input to enhance the technical level of the community health service centers and in compensatory financial input to reduce the higher hospitals dependence on the light disease, results showed that the lower conversion rate increased within the range of 0.33％～0.45％ in terms of the two-way referral rating. On the contrary, when technical financial input is increased to improve the technical level of community health service centers, the rate of change was in the range of 7.52％ '- 12.61％ - Conclusions: Firstly, the diversified strategy should be used to promote the achievement of graded diagnosis and treatment. Secondly, the Health Commission plays a key role in the promotion of themedical consortiumconstruction. Thirdly, medical insurance reimbursement differential strategy should be implemented and the supply-side reform should be strengthened. At last,attention should be paid to the rational development of existing referrals, especially the upper and lower ones.