Application value of neutrophil elastase and fibrinogen combined with tumor necrosis factor-α in the prognosis prediction of severe pneumonia in children / 中国中西医结合急救杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To study the application value of neutrophil elastase (NE), fibrinogen (Fib) combined with tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in the prognosis prediction of severe pneumonia in children. Methods Eighty-two children with severe pneumonia who were admitted into the Yuhang District Maternal and Child Health Hospital of Hangzhou in Zhejiang Province from July 2016 to September 2018 were treated as a severe group, and the children with severe pneumonia were subdivided into a survival group (70 cases) and a death group (12 cases) according to the prognosis; another 90 children with common pneumonia who were treated in our hospital at the same time were selected as a general group; and 85 normal children who received physical examinations at the same time as a healthy control group. The levels of serum NE, Fib and TNF-α in the three groups were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and the pneumonia severity index (PSI) was calculated in the severe group and the general group; Spearman correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between NE, Fib, TNF-α and PSI;the NE, Fib and TNF-α levels were evaluated to predict the prognosis of children with severe pulmonary disease;the receive operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of NE, Fib, TNF-α in children with severe pulmonary disease. Results The expression levels of serum NE, Fib and TNF-α in the severe group were higher than those in the general group and the healthy control group [NE (μg/L) 127.5±12.3 vs. 75.1±6.6, 24.3±5.9, Fib (g/L) 6.9±1.2 vs. 5.1±0.7, 2.8±0.8, TNF-α (μg/L) 98.3±6.9 vs. 63.1±6.8, 30.2±2.1, all P <0.05]. Serum levels of NE, Fib and TNF-α in the death group were higher than those in the survival group [NE (μg/L)141.2±14.9 vs. 80.3±7.4, Fib (g/L) 7.6±1.5 vs. 5.7±1.0, TNF-α (μg/L) 105.4±7.8 vs. 68.2±4.6, all P < 0.05]. It was shown by ROC curve analysis that NE, Fib, TNF-α have some value in predicting the prognosis of children with severe pneumonia, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were 0.889, 0.809, 0.803, 0.961, 95% confidence internal (95%CI) were 0.817-0.968、0.706-0.909、0.702-0.891、0.908-1.000, the sensitivity were 71.2%, 62.7%, 64.9%, 92.3%, the specificity were 73.5%, 68.3%, 74.5%, 90.9%, all P = 0.000. The PSI of severe pneumonia group was significantly higher than that of the general group (97.4±12.1 vs. 76.4±9.6), the PSI of the death group was obviously higher than that of the survival group (100.8±13.1 vs. 87.3±10.5), and the differences were statistically significant (both P < 0.01). Spearman correlation analyses showed that serum NE, Fib, TNF-α and PSI were significantly positively correlated in children with severe pneumonia respectively (r = 0.767, 0.734, 0.673, all P < 0.05), and there were positive correlations between NE and Fib (r = 0.655,P = 0.000), NE and TNF-α (r = 0.530,P = 0.000), Fib and TNF-α (r = 0.522,P = 0.000). Conclusion The combined detections of NE, Fib, and TNF-α levels can help clinicians determine the changes in the condition of children with severe pneumonia and evaluate their prognoses, combined detection has high sensitivity and specificity.