Identification and risk monitoring of potential risk areas of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area / 中华疾病控制杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To identify and monitor potential risk areas of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area. Methods With remote sensing (RS)and geographic information system(GIS) technology, potential risk areas of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area were extracted by using spectral characteristics and environmental factors. Based on epidemiological data and land use data, the regional epidemic index and environmental susceptibility index were fused with potential epidemic risk areas in the grid system of Dongting Lake area to form the epidemic risk surveillance map of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area from 2006 to 2016. Results From 2006 to 2016, the high risk areas of schistosomiasis epidemic in Dongting Lake area were concentrated in the central and Northern lakeside areas of Changde City (Annual average epidemic index R-=0.330 5, Regional average susceptibility index Y-=2.458 2), the sensitive land types were Lake area (Sensitivity coefficient β=1.236 6), the surrounding area of Datong Lake in Nanxian and Northern Yuanjiang City (R-=0.426 0, Y-=0.836 8), paddy field area (β=0.202 1) and other construction land (β=0.308 0). The extremely high risk areas were concentrated in some lake-facing areas in Jinshi (R-=0.449 1, Y-=3.917 0) and the sensitive land type is woodland(β=1.234 5). The risk of river basin from high to low was respectively the Lishui River, the Yuanjiang River, the Zijiang River and the Xiangjiang River. Conclusions The high-risk and extremely high-risk areas should be the focus of future epidemic control. The snail control and environmental renovation of epidemic-sensitive areas such as sparse woodland, grassland with high coverage, reservoir pits and ponds should be done well in Dongting Lake area.