Predictive effect of the preoperative ratio of C reactive protein to albumin on perioperative delirium in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture / 中华创伤骨科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the clinical predictive effect of the preoperative ratio of C reactive protein to albumin (CAR) on perioperative delirium (POD) in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture.Methods:The clinical data were analyzed retrospectively of the 398 patients who had undergone surgery for femoral intertrochanteric fractures at Department of Orthopedics, Xuanwu Hospital from January 2013 to March 2016. According to the presence or absence of POD, all the patients were divided into 2 groups a delirium group and a normal group. The 2 groups were compared in terms of general clinical data like gender, age, body mass index, blood routine, CAR, biochemical indicators, blood coagulation indicators and concomitant internal diseases. After a single factor logistic regression analysis of the general clinical data of the patients, factors with P<0.10 were introduced into the multivariate logistic binary regression model to screen out the risk factors for POD in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to analyze the predictive value and optimal cut-off point of CAR for POD in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture. Results:The incidence of POD in this cohort was 14.32%(57/398). The age, C-reactive protein, CAR, platelet and probability of pulmonary infection in the delirium group were significantly higher than those in the normal group, but the hemoglobin, albumin and prealbumin in the former were significantly lower than those in the latter ( P< 0.05). The multivariate logistic binary regression analysis showed that hemoglobin ( OR=0.975, 95% CI 0.957 to 0.993, P=0.006) and CAR( OR=53.713, 95% CI 17.713 to 162.876, P<0.001) were risk factors for POD in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture. The area under ROC of CAR in predicting POD in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture was 0.906 (95% CI 0.873 to 0.933, P<0.001), and the cut-off point was 2.06. When CAR>2.06, its predicted incidence of POD was 50.50%, with a sensitivity of 89.47% and a specificity of 85.34%. Conclusion:As CAR is a risk factor for POD in geriatric patients with femoral intertrochanteric fracture, it can be used as an effective indicator to predict POD.