The value of gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid enhanced MRI nomogram model for predicting Ki-67 expression of hepatocellular carcinoma / 中华放射学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the value of gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl- diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA) enhanced MRI nomogram model for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods:Data of 85 patients of HCC confirmed by postoperative pathology, who underwent preoperative Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI between September 2016 and August 2019 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were retrospectively evaluated. According to postoperative immunohistochemistry Ki-67 index, the 85 patients were divided into Ki-67 low expression group(Ki-67 index ≤10%, n=20) and Ki-67 high expression group (Ki-67 index >10%, n=65). Clinical data (hepatitis, cirrhosis, etc.), qualitative imaging parameters (tumor margin, capsule, etc.) were compared by χ 2 test and quantitative parameters [lesion-to-normal parenchyma ratio-arterial phase (LNR-AP), lesion-to-normal parenchyma ratio-portal phase (LNR-PP), lesion-to-normal parenchyma ratio-equilibrium phase (LNR-EP) and lesion-to-normal parenchyma ratio-hepatobiliary phase (LNR-HBP)] were compared by independent sample t test. The above statistically significant parameters were included in multivariate logistic regression to identify the independent predictors of Ki-67 high expression and then the nomogram model for predicting Ki-67 expression of HCC was established. Results:alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) tumor margin, arterial rim enhancement between the Ki-67 low expression group and the Ki-67 high expression group had significant differences (χ 2 were 8.196, 10.538 and 4.717, respectively, P<0.05). LNR-AP, LNR-PP, LNR-EP and LNR-HBP between the two groups had significant differences ( t were 2.929, 2.773, 2.890 and 3.437, respectively, P<0.05).The result of multivariate logistic regression revealed that AFP≥20 μg/L, non-smooth tumor margin and low LNR-HBP were the independent predictors of Ki-67 high expression (odds ratio were 4.090, 3.509 and 0.042, respectively, P<0.05).The Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI nomogram model for predicting Ki-67 expression of HCC was established successfully. The Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the nomogram was 0.837 and the corrected predictive curve fitted the ideal curve, which suggested the model had a good predictive efficiency. Conclusion:Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI nomogram model has great value in preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression of HCC, which provided a personalized prediction method for Ki-67 expression in patient with HCC.