Prognosis and risk factors after surgical treatment for colorectal cancer liver metastases / 中华肝胆外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To study the impact of surgical treatment on long-term survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases, and to identify the associated risk factors.Methods:The clinical, pathological, and follow-up data were prospectively collected from 781 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases at Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery Department Ⅰ, Peking Cancer Hospital from Jan 2000 to Nov 2018. There were 497 males and 284 females. The average age was 56.7 years (range 19 to 83 years). The tumor recurrence and survival outcomes on follow-up were analyzed. Survival curves were plotted using the Kplan-Meier mothod. Parametric survival analysis was used to identify predictors of cancer-specific survival.Results:The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year overall survival rates were 91.6%, 57.3%, 45.2% and 27.6%, respectively. The median survival was 46 months. The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year disease-free survival rates were 45.3%, 26.0%, 22.9%, and 19.5%, respectively. The median disease-free survival was 11 months. On multivariate analysis, 5 risk factors were found to be independent predictors of poor survival RAS/BRAF gene mutation ( HR=1.650, 95% CI 1.302-2.089), right-sided colonic primary ( HR=1.361, 95% CI 1.151-1.667), node-positive primary ( HR=1.660, 95% CI 1.284-2.146), largest hepatic tumor ≥3 cm ( HR=1.473, 95% CI 1.157-1.874), and extrahepatic disease ( HR=1.610, 95% CI 1.294-2.003). Conclusion:Surgery is the key to long-term survival for patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer. Right colonic primary, RAS/BRAF gene mutation, primary lymph node metastasis, hepatic metastasis with a maximum diameter ≥3 cm and extrahepatic metastasis were factors associated with poor prognosis.