Clinical value of mean platelet volume/platelet count ratio in predicting short-term prognosis of elderly patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the clinical value of mean platelet volume/platelet count ratio(MPV/PLT)in predicting short-term prognosis of elderly patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD).Methods:A total of 226 elderly patients with AECOPD admitted to our hospital from January 2017 to January 2019 were retrospectively enrolled as research subjects.All cases were divided into the survival group(n=175)and the death group(n=51), based on prognosis 28-day after admission.General data and laboratory test results were compared between the two groups.The relevant factors for death were analyzed by the Logistic regression equation.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the prognostic value of MPV/PLT, and the Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn according to the cut-off.Methods:Compared with the survival group, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Status Evaluation(APACHEⅡ)score, levels of procalcitonin(PCT), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein(hs-CRP), creatinine, neutrophil count(NEU), lymphocyte count(LYM)and MPV were elevated, and levels of albumin and PLT decreased in the death group( P<0.05). Hospital stay lengths and costs were higher in the death group than in the survival group( P<0.05). The level of MPV/PLT was higher in the death group than in the survival group(0.065±0.016 vs.0.054±0.013, t=5.036, P<0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression showed that MPV/PLT was an independent risk factor for recent death( OR=2.331, 95% CI 1.772-8.224, P<0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve(AUC)of MPV/PLT was 0.829, the sensitivity was 83.41%, the specificity was 82.80%, and the cut-off was 0.061.Optimal cut-off value analysis showed that APACHEⅡ score, PCT and hs-CRP levels and mortality were higher in patients with MPV/PLT≥0.061 than in patients with MPV/PLT<0.061( P<0.05). The Kaplan Meier survival curve showed that the cumulative survival rate was lower in those with MPV/PLT≥0.061 than in those with MPV/PLT<0.061( Log- rank=6.323, P<0.05). Conclusions:The increase of MPV/PLT may be an independent risk factor for recent death in elderly patients with AECOPD and has good clinical value in predicting poor prognosis.