The predictive value of mean arterial pressure and end expiratory carbon dioxide on severe cardiovascular collapse in early stage after emergency endotracheal intubation / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the changes of mean arterial pressure (MAP) and end expiratory carbon dioxide (ETCO 2) in patients after emergency endotracheal intubation (ETI). To explore the values of MAP and ETCO 2 monitoring in early prediction of severe cardiovascular collapse (CVC) after emergency ETI. Methods:The clinical data of adult patients who underwent ETI from March 2015 to May 2020 were collected consecutively in the emergency departments of Peking Union Medical College Hospital. The values of MAP and ETCO 2 were observed and recorded at 5, 10, 30, 60 and 120 min after intubation. According to whether severe CVC occurred after ETI, the patients were divided into the severe CVC group and non-severe CVC group. The values of MAP and ETCO 2 were compared at the same time points between the two groups and the adjacent time points within the groups. The correlation between MAP and ETCO 2 after ETI was also analyzed. ROC curve was used to analyze the ability of MAP and ETCO 2 at 5 min and 10 min after ETI to predict severe CVC. Results:Totally 116 patients were enrolled in this study, among them 75 (64.7%) cases had severe CVC after ETI. The majority were male and elderly patients in the severe CVC group. The values of MAP and ETCO 2 in 5, 10, 30, 60 and 120 min after ETI in severe CVC group were significantly lower than those in the non-severe CVC group. The values of MAP and ETCO 2 in the two groups showed simultaneous decrease from 5 min to 30 min after ETI, reached the lowest value at 30 min after ETI, and appeared the synchronous recover from then to 120 min after ETI. After ETI, the changes of MAP was correlated with that of ETCO 2 ( rs = 0.653, P<0.01). At 5 min after ETI, MAP could predict severe CVC (AUC=0.86, P<0.01), MAP≤72 mmHg was the best cutoff value (sensitivity 78.7%, specificity 87.8%); ETCO 2 could also predict severe CVC (AUC=0.85, P<0.01), and ETCO 2≤35 mmHg was the best cutoff value (sensitivity 77.3%, specificity 85.4%). At 10 min after ETI, MAP could predict severe CVC (AUC = 0.90, P<0.01), MAP≤67 mmHg was the best cutoff value (sensitivity 89.3%, specificity 85.4%), ETCO 2 could also predict severe CVC (AUC=0.87, P<0.01), and ETCO 2≤33 mmHg was the best cutoff value (sensitivity 81.3%, specificity 78.0%). There was no significant difference in the ability of prediction between any two indexes of the MAP and ETCO 2 at 5 min and 10 min after ETI ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Patients with severe CVC after ETI have early signs of decreased MAP and ETCO 2, but the delayed recognition and insufficient intervention may be related to the occurrence and development of severe CVC. MAP and ETCO 2 at the early stage after ETI have high accuracy in predicting severe CVC. MAP≤72 mmHg, ETCO 2≤35 mmHg at 5 min after intubation, MAP≤67 mmHg and ETCO 2≤33 mmHg at 10 minutes after intubation all suggest the possibility of severe CVC.