Risk factors of 126 spontaneous rupture of hepatocellular carcinoma patients and prognosis of transcatheter arterial embolization / 中华消化杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the risk factors of spontaneous rupture of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to analyze the prognosis of transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) in the treatment of spontaneous rupture of HCC.Methods:From January 2008 to December 2018, at Tianjin Third Central Hospital, 126 patients diagnosed with spontaneous rupture of HCC (spontaneous rupture group) and in the same period 252 patients diagnosed as HCC without rupture (non-spontaneous rupture group) were retrospectively selected. Independent sample t test, Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square test were used to compare the general data, laboratory test results and imaging results between spontaneous rupture group and non-spontaneous rupture group. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of spontaneous rupture of HCC. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used for survival analysis of 92 patients treated with TAE and 31 patients treated with conservative treatment in patients with spontaneous rupture of HCC, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression was used to analyze the independent prognostic factors of patients treated with TAE. Results:The proportions of tumor maximum diameter ≥5 cm, tumors mainly located in segment Ⅱ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ and Ⅵ of the liver, tumors protruding height from the surface of liver ≥1 cm, liver cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in spontaneous rupture group were all higher than those in non-spontaneous rupture group (46.8%, 59/126 vs. 35.7%, 90/252; 61.1%, 77/126 vs. 46.0%, 116/252; 73.0%, 92/126 vs. 18.7%, 47/252; 81.7%, 103/126 vs. 69.0%, 174/252; 20.6%, 26/126 vs. 11.5%, 29/252), and the level of fibrinogen is lower than that in non-spontaneous rupture group ((3.07 ±1.38) g/L vs. (3.92±1.13) g/L), and the differences were statistically significant ( χ2=4.343, 7.644, 106.780, 6.918 and 5.628, t=-3.276, all P<0.05). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the location of tumors in segment Ⅱ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ, Ⅵ of the liver, the height of tumors protruding from the surface of liver ≥1 cm, liver cirrhosis and the fibrinogen was lower than the lower limit of the reference value were independent risk factors of spontaneous rupture of HCC (odds ratio ( OR)=1.354, 5.726, 1.152, 1.892; 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.062 to 2.008, 1.049 to 19.575, 1.016 to 1.895, 1.267 to 3.346; all P<0.05). Among 92 patients with spontaneous rupture of HCC treated with TAE, the TAE technical success rate and clinical success rate were 100.0% (92/92) and 93.5% (86/92), respectively. Thirty-one patients received conservative treatment. The median survival time of the patients treated with TAE was 243 d (38 d, 377 d), which was about 10 times that of the patients who accepted conservative treatment (23 d (9 d, 51 d)). The 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, 1-year and 3-year survival rates of the patients treated with TAE were 72.8%, 50.8%, 46.0%, 31.1% and 13.6%, respectively, and those of patients who accepted conservative treatment were 25.8%, 17.2%, 11.5%, 5.7% and 0, respectively; and the differences in survival rates between the two groups were statistically significant ( χ2=34.606, P<0.01). Log-rank test analysis showed that initial hemoglobin <60 g/L, C grade of liver function, total bilirubin (TBil)≥50 μmol/L, complicated with portal vein tumor thrombus, hepatic lobe embolism during TAE, and tumor maximum diameter ≥10 cm were all correlated with poor survival rates of patients with spontaneous rupture of HCC after TAE ( χ2=3.752, 4.146, 22.318, 4.087, 5.685 and 7.893, all P<0.05). The results of multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that TBil ≥ 50 μmol/L, hepatic lobe embolism during TAE, and tumor maximum diameter ≥10 cm were independent factors of poor prognosis of spontaneous rupture of HCC treated with TAE ( OR=25.873, 8.415, 18.620; 95% CI 4.916 to 126.005, 1.136 to 27.319, 2.754 to 84.368; all P<0.05). Conclusions:In HCC patients with tumors located in segments Ⅱ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ and Ⅵ of the liver, the height of tumors protruding from the surface of liver ≥1 cm, liver cirrhosis or the fibrinogen is lower than the lower limit of the reference value, close attention should be paid to the risk of spontaneous tumor rupture. TAE is an effective treatment for acute spontaneous rupture of HCC, and the prognosis of patients treated with TAE is better than that of patients receiving conservative treatment. However, patients with TBil ≥50 μmol/L, hepatic lobe embolism during TAE and tumor maximum diameter ≥10 cm have a poor prognosis after TAE treatment.