Prognosis evaluation of ameloblastoma—A study based on SEER database / 中华放射肿瘤学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:Ameloblastoma (AM) is a rare tumor derived from dental epithelial tissues, which is prone to recurrence and infiltration. This study aims to identify the prognostic factors of AM.Methods:207 ameloblastoma patients were screened from the SEER database. A Cox regression model and nomogram were constructed to evaluate the factors on the overall survival. Clinical data of 61 patients admitted to Hunan Cancer Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. The independent factors of recurrence rate were analyzed by the Cox regression model.Results:The results on the SEER database showed that age, tumor size, type of surgery, radiotherapy were important prognostic factors of the overall survival. The nomogram was constructed and the C-index was equaled to 0.821, indicating this model was moderately accurate. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve demonstrated that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years were 0.852, 0.869, 0.856, and 0.879, indicating this model had relatively high sensitivity and specificity. Kaplan- Meier survival analysis suggested that overall survival in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the low-risk group ( P<0.001). Based on retrospective analysis, clinical symptoms and type of surgery were the independent factors of the local recurrence rate. Kaplan- Meier survival analysis found the recurrence rate of facial swelling and pain was lower compared to those of other symptoms. Compared with the palliative surgery, radical surgery could decrease the recurrence rate. Conclusions:Age, tumor size, type of surgery, and radiotherapy may be important factors of the overall survival. Type of surgery and clinical symptoms are probably the independent factors of the recurrence rate.