Correlation of short diameter of residual lymph nodes with efficacy and prognosis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy and establishment of a Nomogram model / 中华放射肿瘤学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the correlation of the short diameter of residual lymph nodes with the efficacy and prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) undergoing chemoradiotherapy (CRT), and establish a Nomogram prediction model to predict the prognosis of ESCC patients.Methods:Clinical data of 143 ESCC patients who underwent CRT in Second People′s Hospital of Huai′an from August 2018 to September 2020 were collected. The survival analysis was conducted with Kaplan- Meier method, log-rank test and univariate prognostic analysis. Multivariate prognostic analysis was performed with Cox models. Finally, a Nomogram prediction model was established to predict the 1-year and 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) of patients, and the C-index, AUC, and calibration curve were used to evaluate the performance of the model. Results:Logistic regression analysis results showed that differentiation, TNM staging, PG-SGA scores before and after radiotherapy (RT) and short diameter of residual lymph nodes were the independent predictors of clinical efficacy of ESCC patients treated with CRT. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that differentiation, TNM staging, PG-SGA scores before and after RT and short diameter of residual lymph nodes were the independent prognostic predictors of ESCC patients undergoing CRT. Conclusions:The short diameter of residual lymph nodes is significantly correlated with the efficacy and prognosis of ESCC patients undergoing CRT. The Nomogram prediction model established after comprehensive clinical baseline characteristics is a practical and reliable tool for predicting clinical prognosis of ESCC patients.