Analysis of prognostic factors for autogenous arteriovenous fistula maturation / 中华肾脏病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the prognostic factor of arteriovenous fistula (AVF) maturation and provide the theoretical basis for the hemodialysis patients' AVF surgery.Methods:Retrospective investigation was conducted on patients that underwent AVF surgery in Wuhan Central Hospital from January 2017 to June 2019 as study subjects to investigate the prognostic factor of AVF maturation. The general information, hematological indicators, preoperative and postoperative ultrasound data of patients were recorded. Patients were divided into mature group and immature group according to the physical examination status, functional status and postoperative color doppler ultrasound data after AVF surgery, and the differences between the two groups were compared. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the prognostic factors of AVF maturation, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of each factor for AVF maturation.Results:A total of 164 patients were included, including 110 patients in the mature group and 54 patients in the immature group. There were statistically significant differences between the two groups in surgical vein diameter, surgical artery diameter, brachial artery flow, cardiac ejection fractions, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure and history of diabetes (all P<0.05), while there were no statistically significant differences in other indicators such as gender, age, etc. Logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative surgical artery diameter (every increase by 0.1 mm, OR=1.402, 95% CI 1.159-1.697, P=0.001), surgical vein diameter (every increase by 0.1 mm, OR=1.341, 95% CI 1.176-1.528, P<0.001), cardiac ejection fraction (every increase by 5%, OR=1.184, 95% CI 1.087-1.289, P<0.001), systolic blood pressure (every increase by 10 mmHg, OR=1.407, 95% CI 1.103-1.796, P=0.006), brachial artery flow (every increase by 10 ml/min, OR=1.047, 95% CI 1.004-1.091, P=0.034) and history of diabetes ( OR=0.271, 95% CI 0.103-0.715, P=0.008) were the independent influencing factors for AVF maturation. ROC curve showed that preoperative surgical artery diameter ( AUC=0.728, 95% CI 0.643-0.839, P<0.001), surgical vein diameter ( AUC=0.762, 95% CI 0.686-0.839, P<0.001), cardiac ejection fraction ( AUC=0.711, 95% CI 0.626-0.796, P<0.001) were the important indicators for predicting AVF maturation. Conclusions:Preoperative surgical artery diameter, surgical vein diameter, cardiac ejection fraction and diabetes mellitus are the prognostic factors of AVF maturation. In preoperative vascular assessment, attention should be paid to the diameter of target arteries and veins, as well as to the cardiac function and diabetes mellitus of patients.