The prognostic value of PI combined with Pv-aCO 2 /Ca-vO 2 in patients with septic shock / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the predictive value of peripheral perfusion index (PI) combined with central venous-arterial carbon dioxide tension to arterial-venous oxygen content ratio(Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2)for prognosis after initial resuscitation of septic shock. Methods:A total of 76 cases of patients with septic shock from January 2019 to January 2021 in emergency intensive care unit (EICU) of Harrson international peace hospital affiliated to Hebei Medical University were enrolled. All recovered according to 2016 Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock Treatment International Guidelines 2016 (SSC 2016) , and PI was monitored, central vein and arterial blood gas analysis was performed, and the ratio of Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 was calculated.The PI and Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 at 3 h,hemodynamic variables,oxygen metabolism indexes,APACHEⅡ and SOFA score were recorded.Patients were divided into survival group and death group according to 28 d survival condition, the dfferences in demographics and clinical data were compared between two groups.The Kaplan-Meier urviving curve was created and the survival of the patients was analyzed by the Log-rank test. Risk factors associated with the prognosis were analyzed using the Cox regression analysis. The role of PI and Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 in prediting death was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC). Results:There were 37 cases in survival group and 39 cases in death group.Compared with death group, PI in survival group [(1.77±0.63) vs. (0.89±0.69)]was significantly higher,and Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2[(1.52±0.52) vs. (2.57±0.86)] was significantly lower ( P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the median survival time in the high PI group [20.09 d (95% CI16.95-23.24) vs.11.00d (95% CI7.14-14.86)] was longer than that in the low PI group(χ 2=12.424, P=0.000),and that in low Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 group [23.74 d (95% CI20.35-27.13) vs.12.85d (95% CI9.75-15.95)] was longer than that in the high Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 group (χ 2=12.200, P=0.000) .Cox regression analysis showed that both PI ( RR=0.397, 95% CI 0.230-0.687, P =0.001) and Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 ( RR=1.878, 95% CI 1.169-3.019, P =0.009) were predictors of 28 d mortality.The area under the ROC curve of PI and Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 for predicting 28 d death in patients with septic shock were 0.828 (95% CI 0.732-0.923) and 0.785 (95% CI 0.6777-0.893)respectively. The optimal cutoff values were 0.52 (sensitivity 58.3% and specificity 94.4%) and 0.35 (sensitivity 88.9% and specificity 63.9%)respectively, and the AUC of the combined prediction of the two indicators was 0.903 (95% CI 0.835-0.971). Conclusions:Combination of PI and Pv-aCO 2/Ca-vO 2 is better to predict the risk of adverse outcomes of septie shock patients,and may provide useful information for the resuscitation at early stage.