Risk Factors of lateral cervical lymph node metastases and survival analysis in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma / 中华内分泌外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the risk factors of cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) and survival analysis in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) .Methods:93 patients with MTC admitted to the Department of General Surgery and Department of Otorhinolaryngology, First Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from Sep. 2008 to Aug. 2020 were analyzed retrospectively, including 45 males and 48 females, with an average age of 47 years old. SPSS 26.0 statistical software was used for data processing of the initial surgical year and procedures, tumor pathological stages, preoperative calcitonin (Ctn) level, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, LNM status, recurrence free survival (RFS) , etc. The risk factors of LNM and prognosis of MTC patients were analyzed by COX univariate and multivariate regression. Kaplan Meier method was used to estimate the survival rates of independent risk factors affecting prognosis and draw their survival curves.Results:The median follow-up time of 93 patients was 53 months, ranging from 2 to 192 months. The 1-year, 3-year, 5-year and 10-year survival rates were 97.8%, 96.6%, 94.6% and 88.9% respectively. Multivariate COX regression analysis showed that Initial surgical procedures ( P=0.018) and preoperative Ctn level ( P=0.012) were independent risk factors of central cervical LNM. Preoperative Ctn level ( P=0.028) and Capsule invasion ( P=0.024) were the independent risk factors of lateral cervical LNM. Preoperative Ctn level≥180.30 pg/ml and ≥234.15pg/ml indicated central and lateral cervical LNM respectively (all P<0.001) . Distant metastasis was an independent risk factor of RFS ( P=0.037) of MTC. Conclusions:Standardized surgical procedures are recommended for initial treatment of MTC, which can reduce the possibility of residual occult metastasis and the risk of reoperation. Distant metastasis affects prognosis of MTC.