Prognostic value of mid-regional proadrenomedullin in low-risk patients with sepsis / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) on poor prognosis of low-risk patients with sepsis.Methods:This was a prospective cohort study. Patients with sepsis admitted to the Emergency Intensive Care Unit of China Rehabilitation Research Center from December 2018 to December 2020 were included in this study. The patients were divided into the low-risk group (SOFA≤7) and medium-high-risk group (SOFA>7) according to the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, and the clinical characteristics of the two groups were compared. Proportional hazards regression model (COX regression model) was used to investigate the risk factors of 28-day mortality in the low-risk and medium-high-risk group. The predictive ability of MR-proADM, C-reactive protein (CRP), lactic acid (Lac), interleukin-6 (IL-6), SOFA score, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ (APACHE Ⅱ) score for the prognosis in each group was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The outcomes of patients with different concentration of MR-proADM in the low-risk group were compared.Results:Totally 205 patients with sepsis were included, and the 28-day mortality was 41.0% (84/205). There were significant differences in the number of organ dysfunction, acute kidney injury, use of vasoactive drugs, Lac, IL-6, SOFA score and APACHEⅡ score between the two groups ( P<0.05). Cox regression model showed that age, MR-proADM, mechanical ventilation, IL-6 and APACHEⅡ score were the risk factors of 28-day death in the low-risk group, while MR-proADM, Lac, SOFA score and APACHEⅡ score were the risk factors of 28-day mortality in the medium-high-risk group. In each group, MR-proADM had a good predictive ability for the prognosis of patients with sepsis ( P<0.001). Especially in low-risk patients with sepsis, the predictive ability of MR-proADM was better than other indicators. Kaplan-Meier survival curve suggested that the patients with MR-proADM >2.53 nmol/L had worse prognosis than those with MR-proADM ≤2.53 nmol/L, and the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.001). In the low-risk group, the mortality of patients increased from 7.8% to 58.2% if MR-proADM >2.53 nmol/L. Conclusions:MR-proADM is a risk factor for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis, and MR-proADM can early identify the poor prognosis of low-risk patients with sepsis.