Predictive value of SAVE score combined with 24-h lactate on the prognosis of patients with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the prognostic value of survival after veno-arterial ECMO (SAVE) score combined with 24-h lactate on the machine in patients with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR).Methods:Totally 59 patients treated with ECPR in the Emergency Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from April 2017 to June 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the 28-day prognosis, the patients were divided into the death group ( n=36) and the survival group ( n=23). The differences in baseline data were analyzed, and multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify the influencing factors of 28-day mortality in patients with ECPR. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to evaluate the predictive value of SAVE score, 24-h lactate and their combined detection for predicting 28-day mortality risk in patients with ECPR. Results:The 28-day survival rate of patients with ECPR was 39% (23/59). SAVE score of the death group was significantly lower than that of the survival group (-11.67±4.60 vs. -2.43±4.77, P<0.001), and the 24-h lactate in the death group was significantly higher than that in the survival group [5.94 (3.37, 12.40) mmol/L vs. 1.65 (1.07, 3.15) mmol/L, P<0.001]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that SAVE score ( OR=0.703, 95% CI 0.566-0.873, P=0.001) and 24-h lactate ( OR=1.608, 95% CI 1.025-2.523, P=0.039) were independent influencing factors of 28-day mortality in ECPR patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the best cut-off value of SAVE score was -6, the sensitivity was 78.30% and specificity was 91.70%. The best cutoff value of 24-h lactate was 4.7 mmol/L, the sensitivity was 63.90% and specificity was 100.00%. The sensitivity and specificity of the combined detection of SAVE score and 24-h lactate were 82.60% and 100.00%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of SAVE score combined with 24-h lactate for predicting the 28-day mortality risk in patients with ECPR was larger than that of SAVE score and 24-h lactate alone (0.952 vs. 0.917; 0.952 vs. 0.847). Conclusions:Lower SAVE score and higher 24-h lactate are independently risk factors of 28-day mortality in patients with ECPR, and SAVE score combined with 24-h lactate on the machine has a good predictive value for the prognosis of patients with ECPR.