Predictive value of parathyroid hormone decline rate for permanent hypoparathyroidism after thyroidectomy / 中华内分泌外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the value of the decrease rate of parathyroid hormone (PTH) in predicting permanent hypoparathyroidism (PHP) in one month after operation of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) .Methods:The clinical data of 322 patients with PTC who underwent at least total thyroidectomy and unilateral central lymph node dissection in the Thyroid Surgery Center of West China Hospital of Sichuan University from Jan. 2013 to Jun. 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 257 women and 65 men. According to the time when PTH returned to normal, they were divided into 307 cases in the temporary hypoparathyroidism (THP) group and 15 cases in the PHP group. The decrease rate of PTH and the incidence of hypoparathyroidism in one month after operation were counted, the clinical characteristics and operation information were observed, and the risk factors of PHP were analyzed. SPSS 23.0 statistical software was used for data processing. χ 2 test and t test were used for comparison between THP and PHP. The related factors were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression. Results:307 cases of THP and 15 cases of PHP were included. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that age ≥ 55 years old ( OR, 35.193; 95% CI, 2.936 - 421.870; P=0.005) and PTH before operation closer to normal lower limit ( OR, 2.349; 95% CI, 1.161 - 4.755; P = 0.018) were independent risk factors for PHP. Patients with PHP had a higher rate of PTH decline in 1 month after operation ( OR, 373.439; 95% CI, 26.568 - 5248.983; P=0.000) . The ROC curve showed that the sensitivity and specificity of predicting PHP were 86.7% and 94.8% respectively. Conclusions:The age of patients with PTC ≥ 55 years old and PTH before operation closer to normal lower limit are independent risk factors for the occurrence of PHP. The decline rate of PTH in one month after operation which more than 73.2% can predict PHP.