Prognosis of patients planned and unplanned admission to the intensive care unit after surgery: a comparative study / 中华危重病急救医学

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE@#To compare and analyze the effect of unplanned versus planned admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) on the prognosis of high-risk patients after surgery, so as to provide a clinical evidence for clinical medical staff to evaluate whether the postoperative patients should be transferred to ICU or not after surgery.@*METHODS@#The clinical data of patients who were transferred to ICU after surgery admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University from January to December in 2021 were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, body mass index, past history (whether combined with hypertension, diabetes, pulmonary disease, cardiac disease, renal failure, liver failure, hematologic disorders, tumor, etc.), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), elective surgery, pre-operative hospital consultation, length of surgery, worst value of laboratory parameters within 24 hours of ICU admission, need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), duration of IMV, length of ICU stay, total length of hospital stay, ICU mortality, in-hospital mortality, and survival status at 30th day postoperative. The unplanned patients were further divided into the immediate transfer group and delayed transfer group according to the timing of their ICU entrance after surgery, and the prognosis was compared between the two groups. Cox regression analysis was used to find the independent risk factors of 30-day mortality in patients transferred to ICU after surgery.@*RESULTS@#Finally, 377 patients were included in the post-operative admission to the ICU, including 232 in the planned transfer group and 145 in the unplanned transfer group (42 immediate transfers and 103 delayed transfers). Compared to the planned transfer group, patients in the unplanned transfer group had higher peripheral blood white blood cell count (WBC) at the time of transfer to the ICU [×109/L 10.86 (7.09, 16.68) vs. 10.11 (6.56, 13.27)], longer total length of hospital stay [days 23.00 (14.00, 34.00) vs. 19.00 (12.00, 29.00)], and 30-day post-operative mortality was higher [29.66% (43/145) vs. 17.24% (40/232)], but haemoglobin (Hb), arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2), oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2), and IMV requirement rate were lower [Hb (g/L) 95.00 (78.00, 113.50) vs. 98.00 (85.00, 123.00), PaCO2 (mmHg, 1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa) 36.00 (29.00, 41.50) vs. 39.00 (33.00, 43.00), PaO2/FiO2 (mmHg) 197.00 (137.50, 283.50) vs. 238.00 (178.00, 350.25), IMV requirement rate 82.76% (120/145) vs. 93.97% (218/232)], all differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 30-day cumulative survival rate after surgery was significantly lower in the unplanned transfer group than in the planned transfer group (Log-Rank test χ2 = 7.659, P = 0.006). Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that unplanned transfer, APACHE II score, whether deeded IMV at transfer, total length of hospital stay, WBC, blood K+, and blood lactic acid (Lac) were associated with 30-day mortality after operation (all P < 0.05). Multifactorial Cox analysis showed that unplanned transfer [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.45, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.54-3.89, P < 0.001], APACHE II score (HR = 1.03, 95%CI was 1.00-1.07, P = 0.031), the total length of hospital stay (HR = 0.86, 95%CI was 0.83-0.89, P < 0.001), the need for IMV on admission (HR = 4.31, 95%CI was 1.27-14.63, P = 0.019), highest Lac value within 24 hours of transfer to the ICU (HR = 1.17, 95%CI was 1.10-1.24, P < 0.001), and tumor history (HR = 3.12, 95%CI was 1.36-7.13, P = 0.007) were independent risk factors for patient death at 30 days post-operative, and the risk of death was 2.45 times higher in patients unplanned transferred than in those planned transferred. Subgroup analysis showed that patients in the delayed transfer group had significantly longer IMV times than those in the immediate transfer group [hours 43.00 (11.00, 121.00) vs. 17.50 (2.75, 73.00), P < 0.05].@*CONCLUSIONS@#The 30-day mortality, WBC and total length of hospital stay were higher in patients who were transferred to ICU after surgery, and PaO2/FiO2 was lower. Unplanned transfer, oncology history, use of IMV, APACHE II score, total length of hospital stay, and Lac were independent risk factors for patient death at 30 days postoperatively, and patients with delayed transfer to ICU had longer IMV time.