Monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio predicts early neurological deterioration and hemorrhagic transformation after intravenous thrombolytic therapy in patients with acute ischemic stroke / 国际脑血管病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (MHR) for early neurological deterioration (END) and hemorrhagic transformation (HT) after intravenous thrombolysis in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).Methods:Patients with AIS received IVT in Hefei Second People's Hospital from May 2020 to January 2022 were retrospectively enrolled. Blood collection was completed and MHR was calculated before intravenous thrombolysis. END was defined as an increase of ≥2 from the baseline in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score or ≥1 from the baseline in motor function score at any time within 7 d after admission. HT was defined as intracranial hemorrhage newly found by CT/MRI within 24 h after intravenous thrombolysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent predictors of END and HT, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of MHR for END and HT. Results:A total of 186 patients with AIS treated with IVT were included, of which 50 (26.9%) had END and 31 (16.7%) had HT. The median MHR was 0.43. The MHR in the END group was significantly higher than that in the non-END group (0.49 vs. 0.40; P=0.008), and the MHR in the HT group was significantly higher than that in the non-HT group (0.52 vs. 0.40; P=0.013). All patients were divided into 4 groups (MHR1, MHR2, MHR3 and MHR4) according to the MHR quartile from low to high. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, taking MHR1 as a reference, MHR3 (odds ratio [ OR] 6.317, 95% confidence interval [ CI] 1.465-27.237; P=0.013) and MHR4 ( OR 8.064, 95% CI 1.910-34.051; P=0.005) were the significant independent predictors of END; Taking MHR1 as a reference, MHR4 ( OR 5.147, 95% CI 1.194-22.182; P=0.028) was the significant independent predictor of HT. The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of MHR for predicting END was 0.628 (95% CI 0.554-0.698; P=0.008). When the optimal MHR cutoff value was 0.41, its sensitivity and specificity for predicting END was 74.0% and 53.7% respectively. The area under the curve of MHR for predicting HT was 0.642 (95% CI 0.569-0.711; P=0.013). When the best cutoff value was 0.44, the sensitivity and specificity of MHR for predicting HT were 77.4% and 58.1% respectively. Conclusion:Higher MHR is a risk factor for END and HT after intravenous thrombolysis in patients with AIS, but the predictive value of MHR for END and HT is limited.