Predictive value of serum chlorine and interleukin-6 combined with coagulation indexes on severity of severe acute pancreatitis / 中华危重病急救医学

ABSTRACT

Objective:To explore the predictive value of combined detection of serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), chloride (Cl -), D-dimer and fibrin degradation products (FDP) for severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods:From December 2020 to March 2022, 132 AP patients who met the criteria for inclusion were screened for retrospective analysis from 292 AP patients admitted in emergency surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University and they were divided into severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) group and non-SAP group, with 63 in SAP group and 69 in non-SAP group, according to classification criteria. The data including lab results, abdominal doppler ultrasound and chest and abdominal CT, etc. The bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score was calculated. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was carried out to find the risk factors for the severity of AP patients. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) was drawn to judge the clinical predictive value of each factor.Results:A total of 132 AP patients were enrolled. The serum IL-6, D-dimer, FDP levels and the BISAP score in SAP group were significantly higher than those in non-SAP group [serum IL-6 (ng/L) 62.73 (21.54, 187.47) vs. 8.22 (4.13, 14.70), D-dimer (mg/L) 5.36 (2.94, 8.25) vs. 0.94 (0.42, 2.21), FDP (mg/L) 13.54 (6.76, 22.45) vs. 3.20 (2.50, 6.10), BISAP score 2.00 (1.00, 3.00) vs. 1.00 (0, 2.00), all P < 0.05], while the serum Cl - level was significantly lower than that of non-SAP group (mmol/L 97.90±4.86 vs. 101.73±4.32, P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that increased levels of IL-6 [odds ratio ( OR) = 1.02, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.01-1.04], D-dimer ( OR = 1.21, 95% CI was 1.05-1.40) and decreased Cl - level ( OR = 0.88, 95% CI was 0.79-0.98) were risk factors for SAP (all P < 0.05). The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of IL-6, Cl -, D-dimer and FDP combined to predict the severity of AP patients was larger (0.89), and the sensitivity (82.50%) and specificity (85.50%) were higher. Conclusion:Compared with single index, the combined detection of serum IL-6, Cl -, D-dimer and FDP is more precise in determining the condition of AP.