Prognostic value of using the preoperative serum fibrinogen to albumin ratio in gallbladder carcinoma patients after radical resection / 中华肝胆外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the prognostic value of using preoperative serum albumin-related biomarkers in gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients after resection.Methods:The clinical data of patients who underwent curative-intent resection for GBC at the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University from January 2011 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Of 427 patients who were included in this study, there were 131 males and 296 females, aged (61.75±10.69) years old, range 30 to 87 years old. The 427 patients were divided into the training set ( n=300) and the testing set ( n=127). The training set was used to develop the nomogram model, and the testing set was used to evaluate its predictive ability. The X-Tile software was used to determine the best cut-off values for prognostic nutritional index (PNI), platelet to albumin ratio (PAR), fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR), and albumin to γ-glutamyl transpeptidase ratio (AGR). Based on the independent risk factors screened by the Cox proportional hazards regression model, the nomogram survival prediction model was developed by the rms installation package of the R software. The predictive ability of the nomogram was assessed by C-index and calibration curve. Results:The best cut-off values of PNI, PAR, FAR, and AGR were determined to be 44.0, 6.25×10 9/g, 0.08, and 2.03 g/U, respectively. FAR was better than PNI, PAR and AGR in predicting prognosis of patients after radical resection of GBC. Multivariate analysis showed that FAR>0.08 ( HR=2.124, 95% CI 1.424-3.168), CEA>5.0 ng/ml ( HR=1.577, 95% CI 1.047-2.375), CA-125>35.0 U/ml ( HR=1.454, 95% CI 1.031-2.179), N1-2 stage ( HR=2.074, 95% CI 1.420-3.029), major vascular invasion ( HR=3.292, 95% CI 1.640-6.608), perineural infiltration ( HR=1.781, 95% CI 1.045-3.034) and poor tumor differentiation ( HR=6.100, 95% CI 2.753-13.515) were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of GBC after radical resection ( P<0.05). The C-index of the nomogram model was 0.790 (95% CI 0.779-0.801) and 0.771 (95% CI 0.754-0.788) in the training set and the testing set, respectively. Conclusion:Preoperative FAR had a good predictive ability for overall survival in patients with gallbladder carcinoma after radical resection, and it could be used for prognostic evaluation.