Is it time to talk about the end of social distancing? A joinpoint analysis of COVID-19 time series in Brazilian capitals
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
;
53: e20200469, 2020. tab
Artículo
en Inglés
| SES-SP, ColecionaSUS, LILACS
| ID: biblio-1136817
ABSTRACT
Abstract INTRODUCTION:
Monitoring coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related infections and deaths in Brazil is controversial, with increasing pressure to ease social distance measures. However, no evidence of a sustained, widespread fall in cases exists. METHODS We used segmented (joinpoint) regression analysis to describe the behavior of COVID-19 infections in Brazilian capital cities. RESULTS All capitals showed an exponential or a near-exponential increase in cases through May. A decline in reported cases was subsequently noted in 20 cities but was only significant for 8 (29.6%) and was followed in two by a renewed increase. CONCLUSIONS Caution is warranted when considering the relaxation of restrictions.
Texto completo:
Disponible
Índice:
LILACS (Américas)
Asunto principal:
Neumonía Viral
/
Aislamiento Social
/
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles
/
Infecciones por Coronavirus
/
Pandemias
Límite:
Humanos
País/Región como asunto:
America del Sur
/
Brasil
Idioma:
Inglés
Revista:
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Artículo
Institución/País de afiliación:
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz/BR
/
Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo/BR
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