Impact of Climate Change on Human Infectious Diseases: Dengue
Braz. arch. biol. technol
;
64: e21190502, 2021. tab, graf
Artículo
en Inglés
| LILACS
| ID: biblio-1285558
ABSTRACT
Abstract Climate is considered an important factor in the temporal and spatial distribution of vector-borne diseases. Dengue transmission involves many factors: although it is not yet fully understood, climate is a critical factor as it facilitates risk analysis of epidemics. This study analyzed the effect of seasonal factors and the relationship between climate variables and dengue risk in the municipality of Campo Grande, from 2008 to 2018. Generalized linear models with negative binomial and Poisson distribution were used. The most appropriate model was the one with "minimum temperature" and "precipitation", both lagged by one month, controlled by "year". In this model, a 1°C rise in the minimum temperature of one month led to an increase in dengue cases the following month, while a 10 mm increase in precipitation led to an increase in dengue cases the following month.
Texto completo:
Disponible
Índice:
LILACS (Américas)
Asunto principal:
Cambio Climático
/
Dengue
/
Distribución Temporal
Tipo de estudio:
Estudio pronóstico
Idioma:
Inglés
Revista:
Braz. arch. biol. technol
Asunto de la revista:
Biologia
Año:
2021
Tipo del documento:
Artículo
País de afiliación:
Brasil
Institución/País de afiliación:
Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro/BR
/
Federal University of Alagoas/BR
/
Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul/BR
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