Development and validation of a satellites based geographic information system [GIS] model for epidemiology of schistosoma risk assessment on snail level in Kafr El-Sheikh governorate

ABSTRACT

The aim of the present study was to test the accuracy of Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer [AVHRR] satellite derived temperature difference [dT] maps as a guide for the suitability of the environment for local snail hosts and Schistosoma development-transmission at the village level. The study provided field validation data from 13 villages in Kafr El-Sheikh in the Nile Delta, that sites present in wet zones of low dT value have more abundant snail populations than that present in the drier zones with high dT values. Results suggested that lower dT values were associated with wetter hydrologic regimes related to the level of underground water table and that this is reflected in the abundance of snail populations and Schistosoma snail infection rates at the village level. Water quality parameters on pH salinity and dissolved oxygen were not correlated with presence of Schistosoma infected snails. Results indicated that abundance of snail and S. mansoni prevalence are related to thermal- hydrology domains associated with surface water, that habitat suitability is related to depth to water table and that regional hydrology characteristics that affect snail host habitat suitability [i.e. Wet, moist, dry or very dry] can be evaluated using AVHRR dT maps