Influencing factors for unfavorable outcome of low-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage / 中华神经医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the influencing factors for unfavorable outcome of low-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).Methods:A retrospective study was performed. The clinical data of 273 patients with aSAH of World Federation of Neurosurgery (WNFS) grading I and II, admitted to our hospital from April 2017 to March 2021, were collected. According to modified Rankin scale (mRS) scores 3 months after treatment, these patients were divided into favorable outcome group (mRS scores of 0-2) and unfavorable outcome group (mRS scores of 3-6). Statistical methods were used to analyze the clinical and imaging data differences between the two groups and identify the independent influencing factors for unfavorable outcome. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the predictive values of different independent factors in unfavorable outcome.Results:Among the 273 patients with low-grade aSAH, 45 patients had unfavorable outcome and 228 patients had favorable outcome. Univariate analysis showed that there was significant difference between the 2 groups in age, Fisher grading distribution, proportions of patients complicated with shunt dependent hydrocephalus, with delayed cerebral ischemia, or with intracranial hemorrhage, and WNFS grading ( P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that concurrent shunt dependent hydrocephalus ( OR=5.075, 95%CI: 1.705-15.102, P=0.004), age ( OR=1.090, 95%CI: 1.036-1.147, P=0.004), delayed cerebral ischemia ( OR=8.282, 95%CI: 3.447-19.896, P=0.000), and postoperative intracranial hemorrhage ( OR=8.603, 95%CI: 2.332-31.745, P=0.001) were independent influencing factors for unfavorable outcome. ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal diagnostic threshold of age was 65 years, and the areas under ROC curve for delayed cerebral ischemia and age in predicting unfavorable outcome were 0.733 ( 95%CI: 0.653-0.813, P=0.000) and 0.709 ( 95%CI: 0.622-0.796, P=0.000). Conclusion:Low-grade aSAH patients with age≥65, postoperative shunt dependent hydrocephalus, delayed cerebral ischemia, and intracranial hemorrhage are more likely to have unfavorable outcome; age and complicated delayed cerebral ischemia have certain diagnostic value in low-grade aSAH patients.