Risk of stroke recurrence and its predictors in young patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack / 中国脑血管病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective Toinvestigatetheriskoflong-termrecurrenceofstrokeanditspredictorsin youngpatientswithischemicstroke/transientischemicattack(TIA).Methods Theclinicaldataofthe consecutive young patients (18-45 years)with ischemic stroke/TIA (within 2 weeks after onset)admitted to the department of neurology in the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University between August 2008 and July 2013 were enrolled prospectively. All patients were regularly followed up for a long time (The patients were followed up at the 1 st,6 th,and 12 th month after onset;then they were followed up once for every 6 months)in order to investigate stroke recurrence. The Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze the cumulative stroke recurrence rate of all patients. The last contact time for patients lost to follow was used as censored data to be enrolled in the analysis. The univariate analysis of the related risk factors for stroke recurrence using Log-rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression was used to detect the related risk factors associated with stroke recurrence (adjusting for age and sex). The variables of the results of Log-ranktestP≤0.1wasselectedandenrolledinthemultivariateregressionanalysis.Results Atotalof 312 patients were enrolled in the analysis,including 294 with ischemic stroke and 18 with TIA. Their mean follow-up time was 34 ± 19 months. Thirty-four patients had recurrent stroke,including 23 with ischemic stroke,7 with TIA,and 4 with cerebral hemorrhage. The cumulative recurrence rates of stroke at 1 ,3 , and 6 years after onset were 6. 2%,10. 3%,and 16. 4%,respectively. The results of multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that hypertension (risk ratio [RR]2. 159;95% confidence interval [CI]1. 048-4. 447,P=0. 037)and cardioembolism (RR,2. 869;95%CI 1. 119-7. 357,P=0.028)weretheindependentpredictorsforstrokerecurrence.Conclusion Theoverall6-yearriskof recurrent stroke is not high in the Chinese young patients with ischemic stroke/TIA,but the risk of stroke recurrence is relatively higher in the first year. Hypertension and cardioembolism are the potential predictors of stroke recurrence;therefore,attention should be paid in clinical practice.