Trend analysis of the death level and probability of premature mortality caused by gastric cancer in Jinshan district, Shanghai, 1980-2019 / 公共卫生与预防医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To analyze the trend of death level and the probability of premature death caused by gastric cancer in Jinshan District, Shanghai from 1980 to 2019, and to provide a basis for formulating prevention and control measures of gastric cancer. Methods The death cases of gastric cancer were collected through the death cause registration system in Jinshan District, and the crude gastric cancer death rate, standardized death rate, age group death rate, premature death probability and annual change percentage were calculated. Results From 1980 to 2019, the crude mortality of gastric cancer in Jinshan District was 22.38/100 000, and the standardized mortality was 13.85/100 000. Over these 40 years, the standardized mortality of gastric cancer showed a downward trend in both males and females (APC=-3.69%, -3.39%, P<0.001). In different periods, the mortality of gastric cancer in all age groups decreased. Over the past 40 years, the probability of premature death caused by gastric cancer showed a downward trend in both males and females (APC=-4.32%, -4.24%, P<0.001), but there was no significant downward trend in the probability of premature death caused by gastric cancer in males and females in the past 10 years. Conclusion Over the past 40 years, the mortality rate and the probability of premature death of gastric cancer in Jinshan District have shown a downward trend. However, gastric cancer is still one of the major malignant tumors that seriously threaten the health of residents in Jinshan District. Comprehensive prevention and treatment measures should be taken to reduce the mortality and the probability of premature death of gastric cancer.