Predictive value of serum thyroid hormone in the short-term prognosis of patients with septic shock / 中华急诊医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of serum thyroid hormone in the short-term prognosis of patients with septic shock..Methods:The 133 patients with septic shock admitted to Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of Nanjing Hospital of Nanjing Medical University were enrolled. Data of patient’s general clinical information, acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ (APACHE Ⅱ), serum triiodothyronine ( T3 ), thyroxine (T4), free triiodothyronine (FT3) , free thyroxine (FT4) and thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH) in 24 h were collected, and the ratio of T3 to FT3 (T3/FT3) was calculated. The patients were divided into the survival group and death group according to the prognosis during ICU hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze the prognostic factors of patients with septic shock. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan-Meier analysis were plotted to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of serum thyroid hormone for the short-term prognosis of patients with septic shock.Results:Compared to the survival group, FT3, T3 and T3/FT3 were significantly lower in the death group [1.73 (1.54, 2.52) vs. 1.32 (0.94, 1.54) pmol/L, 0.70 (0.56, 0.79) vs. 0.33 (0.25, 0.43) nmol/L, 318.18(299.44, 448.05) vs. 250.00 (192.31, 313.92), respectively; all P < 0.05 ]. The levels of serum T3 and FT3 were significantly correlated with the APACHEⅡ score in patients with septic shock (FT3: r = -0.25, P= 0.004; T3: r = - 0.24, P= 0.006). Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that FT3, T3 and T3/FT3 were independent risk factors of the short-term prognosis of patients with septic shock [FT3: OR = 6.533, 95% CI: 0.687 - 62.157, P = 0.012; T3: OR = 0.529, 95% CI: 0.372 - 0.975, P= 0.000; T3/FT3: OR = 1.719, 95% CI: 1.007 - 1.931, P= 0.002]. ROC curve analysis showed that FT3, T3 and T3/FT3 all had certain predictive value for the short-term prognosis of patients with septic shock, and the diagnostic value of T3 was the largest [AUC = 0.874, 95% CI: 0.794-0.954, P= 0.000]. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed a significantly higher survival rate in patients with T3 greater than 0.535 nmol/L than patients with T3 less than 0.535 nmol/L. Conclusions:The serum levels of thyroid hormone T3 and FT3 are closely related to the severity of septic shock. T3 is an effective ICU mortality during hospitalization prognostic indicator for patients with septic shock, which is better than FT3 and T3/FT3.