Prognosis of middle-aged and elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia in integrated medical and elderly care institutions and logistic regression analysis of related influencing factors / 公共卫生与预防医学

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the prognosis of middle-aged and elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia and related influencing factors in integrated medical and elderly care institutions. Methods A total of 604 elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia were selected from integrated medical and elderly care institutions from January 2016 to December 2020. The prognosis of the patients was counted, and the prognostic factors were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression equations. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC) were used to analyze the predictive value of logistic regression model for the prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia. Results Univariate analysis showed that Alzheimer's disease, severe pneumonia, ability of daily living (ADL), and the number of rescues were related to the prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia (P12.97), the predictive value was the best, with the predictive sensitivity being 83.87%, and the specificity being 84.15%. Conclusion Alzheimer's disease, severe pneumonia, moderate and severe dependence in the ability of daily living and rescue times ≥ 2 are related to the prognosis of middle-aged and elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia in the integrated medical and elderly care institutions, which can be used as a prognostic plan for clinical treatment and nursing management. At the same time strengthening the intervention of patients with the above characteristics will help to promote the improvement of prognosis.