Study on Serum FOXM1 and IGF2 Expression Levels and Prognostic Value in Elderly Patients with Heart Failure Complicated with Pneumonia / 现代检验医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To explore the predictive value of the expression of serum forkhead box protein M1(FOXM1)and insulin-like growth factor 2(IGF2)on the prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia.Methods A total of 126 elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia admitted to Handan Central Hospital from March 2021 to June 2022 were included in case group.According to the follow-up results,the 122 patients were grouped into poor prognosis group(n=33)and good prognosis group(n=89).Meanwhile,126 healthy people in the same period were included as the control group.The levels of serum FOXM1 and IGF2,forced vital capacity(FVC)and forced expiratory volume in the first second(FEV1)in the two groups(case group and control group)were measured.Spearman method was used to analyze the correlation between serum levels of FOXM1 and IGF2 and heart function classification in elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia.The predictive value of serum FOXM1 and IGF2 levels in elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results Compared with the control group,the levels of FOXM1(2.39±0.55 vs 1.06±0.21)and IGF2(71.33±7.96pg/ml vs 47.82±5.14pg/ml)in the case group were significantly higher(t=25.358,27.581,all P<0.05).Compared with the good prognosis group,the levels of serum FOXM1(3.87±1.06 vs 1.95±0.51)and IGF2(85.88±9.54pg/ml vs 69.14±8.73pg/ml)in the poor prognosis group were significantly higher,and the differences were statistically significant(t=13.453,9.174,all P<0.05).There were significant differences in heart function classification between the good prognosis group and the poor prognosis group,and the differences were statistically significant(χ2=7.120,P<0.05).Compared with the poor prognosis group,FEV1(1.24±0.32 L vs 1.08±0.25 L)and FEV1/FVC(55.46%±5.77%vs 52.30%±5.38%)in good prognosis group were significantly higher,and the differences were statistically significant(t=2.592,2.735,all P<0.05).The levels of serum FOXM1 and IGF2(r=0.496,0.517,all P<0.05)in elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia were positively correlated with heart function classification.ROC curve results showed that the area under the curve(AUC)of serum FOXM1 alone in predicting the prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia was 0.854(95CI%:0.779～0.912),with sensitivity and specificity of 75.76%and 86.52%,respectively,and the optimal cut-off value of 2.75.The AUC of IGF2 alone in predicting the prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia was 0.874(95CI%:0.802～0.927),with sensitivity and specificity of 72.73%and 85.39%,respectively,and the optimal cut-off value of 78.30 pg/ml.The AUC of the combination of the two in predicting the prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia was greater than the AUC diagnosed by serum FOXM1 alone and IGF2 alone(Z=2.737,2.413,P=0.006,0.016).Conclusion The serum levels of FOXM1 and IGF2 were increased in elderly patients with heart failure complicated with pneumonia,indicating the combined detection of the two may have a high predictive value for the prognosis of patients.