Predictive study of training scale and social demand of nursing undergraduates in Henan province / 中国实用护理杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the training scale and social demand of nursing undergraduates in recent five years in Henan province,and supply reference for trend of talent supply and demand in future five years in Henan province.Methods A cross-sectional questionnaire survey were taken,6 nursing colleges,78 hospitals took part in the survey.Literature searching and trend extrapolation method were used to predict the demand of nursing talents in Henan province from 2011 to 2015.Results Tertiary hospitals demand more nurses with bachelor degree than secondary hospitals; the appropriate proportion of nurses with bachelor degree in all nurses was 30％～50％; besides,a predictive model equation was proposed.Conclusions The scale of undergraduate nursing should develop in appropriate ratio based on the predictive values; we should strengthen undergraduate nursing education for all-around development to adapt tertiary hospitals and community nursing trend,and the predictive model equation needs continuous emendation.