Prognostic values of blood parameters on mortality in octogenarian population: a nine-year-follow-up study / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the prognostic values of leukocyte count,hemoglobin,biochemical parameters,erythrocyte sedimentation rate and immunoglobulin on mortality in patients aged 80 years and over.Methods Totally 342 patients(aged 85.6±4.0 years)were followed up for (82.0±36.9) months,and the cause and time of death were recorded.Results During the period of follow up,198 patients suffered from death.Compared with the survival group (132 cases),the death group had older age [ (86.5±4.4)years vs.(84.5±3.2)years,t=-4.86,P＜0.01 ],higher white blood cell [ (6.2± 1.7) ＞ 109/L vs.(5.5±1.3) × 109/L,t=-3.93,P＜0.01 ],lower hemoglobin [(134.4±14.4)g/L vs.(140.0± 12.6)g/L,t= 3.65,P＜0.01 ],slightly faster erythrocyte sedimentation rate [ 11 mm/h(15 mm/h) vs.9 mm/h (10 mm/h),U=- 3.31,P＜0.01 ],lower immunoglobulin M [ (0.9±0.5)mg/L vs.(1.1±0.8)mg/L,t =2.55,P＜0.05 ],slightly higher urea nitrogen [ (7.5±2.6) mmol/L vs.(6.8±1.6) mmol/L,t=2.81,P＜0.01]and creatinine [(113.0±32.5) μmol/L vs.(100.5±15.8) μmol/L,t=-4.65,P＜0.01 ].Cox multivariate analysis revealed that older age (RR=1.083,95％CI:1.040 1.127,P＜0.01),white blood cell count (RR=1.134,95％CI:1.021-1.260,P＜0.05),creatinine (RR=1.011,95％CI=1.0021.020,P＜0.05),hemoglobin(RR=0.835,95％CI:0.714-0.975,P＜0.05)andimmunoglobulin M(RR=0.710,95％CI:0.521-0.966,P＜0.03),aorticaneurysm(RR=2.144,95％CI:1.163-3.951,P ＜ 0.05 ) were the independent risk factors for death.Conclusions Aging,increased WBC count,decreased hemoglobin and immunoglobulin M,elevated creatinine and aortic aneurysm are the independent risk factors for death,which are powerful parameters for the prognostic evaluation in the elderly aged 80 years and over.