The Predictive Value for Long-term Prognosis of GRACE Score and SYNTAX Score in Patients With Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome / 中国循环杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective: To clarify the predictive value for long-term prognosis of GRACE score and SYNTAX score in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Methods: A total of 784 NSTE-ACS patients treated in our hospital from 2009-01 to 2014-01 were retrospectively studied. According to the treatment, the patients were divided into 3 groups Medication group,n=410, Stent group,n=325 and CABG group,n=49. Based on 2 scoring systems, the patients were divided into another 3 groups Low risk group, Medium risk group and High-risk group. The relationship between GRACE score and SYNTAX score was studied by Pearson correlation analysis, survival analysis was conducted by Kaplan-Meier method, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed by Cox proportional hazard model, and the area under curve (AUC) of ROC analysis was used to compare two methods. Results: All 784 patients completed the follow-up study at the median of 47.7 months. Pearson correlation analysis showed that there was a weak positive correlation between GRACE score and SYNTAX score (r=0.40,P0.05. Cox proportional hazard model and ROC analysis indicated that GRACE and SYNTAX scores had the important predictive value for lone term prognosis of NSTE-ACS. ROC analysis of GRACE score, SYNTAX score, the combination of GRACE and SYNTAX scores showed that 3 of them all had good predictive value for MACE occurrence, three of 95% CI had signiifcant overlapping without statistic differences. Conclusion: GRACE score and SYNTAX score are related, both of them have important while similar predictive value for long term prognosis in NSTE-ACS patients, the combination of 2 scores cannot increase the predictive value. GRACE score is appropriate for the risk stratiifcation in NSTE-ACS patients.